Covered-Call Premium Report · Alan Fatal Portfolio

Generated 2026-09-11 01:00 PT · 20 holdings

Premise: Alan owns the underlying and writes covered calls. Engine prioritizes:

  1. IV richness · implied > realized vol means premium-selling has positive edge.
  2. Strike near resistance · best probability of OTM expiry without capping rallies.
  3. Earnings-calendar awareness · avoid writing through earnings unless intended.
  4. Composite long-thesis · keep writing on names the engine still likes long.

Portfolio-level · premium-selling priority

Sorted by IV-rank × IV/RV ratio (premium edge × premium richness).

# Sym Spot Long thesis IV-rank IV/RV 30d ann.yield DTE→earn Flag
1 AAPL $326.57 LONG ✓ 0 0.40 12.6% 48d iv-thin, NEG edge
2 TSLA $363.56 short ⚠ 0 0.18 37.5% 40d iv-thin, NEG edge
3 AMD $503.60 LONG ✓ 0 0.24 48.5% 53d iv-thin, NEG edge
4 NVDA $218.36 LONG ✓ 0 0.28 23.6% 67d iv-thin, NEG edge
5 ORCL $152.94 neutral 0 0.26 85.2% iv-thin, NEG edge
6 CRWD $208.86 LONG ✓ 0 0.13 50.6% 81d iv-thin, NEG edge
7 GLW $163.12 LONG ✓ 0 0.15 70.3% 46d iv-thin, NEG edge
8 CRWV $89.12 short ⚠ 0 0.17 99.8% 61d iv-thin, NEG edge
9 GOOGL $332.60 LONG ✓ 0 0.68 18.4% 47d iv-thin, NEG edge
10 HOOD $113.33 LONG ✓ 0 0.07 69.0% 54d iv-thin, NEG edge
11 ARM $254.18 LONG ✓ 0 0.18 73.6% 54d iv-thin, NEG edge
12 AVGO $360.83 neutral 0 0.33 28.9% 89d iv-thin, NEG edge
13 DELL $506.62 LONG ✓ 0 0.08 73.5% 77d iv-thin, NEG edge
14 IBM $234.02 neutral 0 0.43 27.6% 40d iv-thin, NEG edge
15 MRVL $226.96 LONG ✓ 0 0.15 76.2% 81d iv-thin, NEG edge
16 MSFT $492.44 LONG ✓ 0 0.57 15.4% 47d iv-thin, NEG edge
17 PLTR $165.86 LONG ✓ 0 0.23 42.4% 52d iv-thin, NEG edge
18 TRX $1.11 LONG ✓ 0 0.72 37.6% iv-thin, NEG edge
19 QQQ $708.69 neutral 0 0.48 6.1% iv-thin, NEG edge
20 SMCI $37.38 LONG ✓ 0 0.16 77.4% 53d iv-thin, NEG edge

Per-stock detail

AAPL · spot $326.57

AAPL: long candidate (composite +0.07). Drivers: insider_trades - (90d net $-1823k (0 buyers/2 sellers)); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +11.6% (golden cross; px>MAs)); finra_short_vol - (3d short 59% vs 17d 46% (rising short pressure)); momentum + (6-mo return +20.8%).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.07 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $339.79 (-3.9% from spot)
52-week high $339.79 (-3.9% from spot)
20-day realized vol 23%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 9%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.40 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-10-29 (48d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $345.00 +5.6% $1.39 ⚪ stale 0.43% 11.1% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $345.00 +5.6% $3.15 ⚪ stale 0.96% 12.6% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $345.00 +5.6% $5.00 ⚪ stale 1.53% 13.3% 3% 0

Recommendation:


TSLA · spot $363.56

TSLA: short candidate (composite -0.11). Drivers: insider_trades - (90d net $-938k (0 buyers/1 sellers)); momentum - (6-mo return -25.6%); ma_cross - (50/200 sep -10.9% (death cross; px<MAs)); volume_trend + (OBV 10d vs 30d +64% (accumulating)).

Metric Value
Engine composite -0.11 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance) $425.30 (-14.5% from spot)
52-week high $489.88 (-25.8% from spot)
20-day realized vol 52%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 9%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.18 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-10-21 (40d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $380.00 +4.5% $5.90 ⚪ stale 1.62% 42.3% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $380.00 +4.5% $10.45 ⚪ stale 2.87% 37.5% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $380.00 +4.5% $16.10 ⚪ stale 4.43% 38.5% 3% 0

Recommendation:


AMD · spot $503.60

AMD: long candidate (composite +0.15). Drivers: momentum + (6-mo return +134.3%); mom_multi + (1m +4.3%, 3m +3.1%, 12m-1 +202.7%); macd + (hist +1.15% (bull cross)); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +43.9% (golden cross; px>MAs)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.15 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $580.91 (-13.3% from spot)
52-week high $580.91 (-13.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol 52%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.24 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-11-03 (53d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $530.00 +5.2% $10.49 ⚪ stale 2.08% 54.3% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $530.00 +5.2% $18.74 ⚪ stale 3.72% 48.5% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $530.00 +5.2% $26.00 ⚪ stale 5.16% 44.9% 3% 0

Recommendation:


NVDA · spot $218.36

NVDA: long candidate (composite +0.08). Drivers: volume_trend - (OBV 10d vs 30d -504% (distributing)); dollar + (DXY 99.1 (intl-exposed)); momentum + (6-mo return +19.2%); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +7.6% (golden cross; px>MAs)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.08 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $230.10 (-5.1% from spot)
52-week high $235.20 (-7.2% from spot)
20-day realized vol 45%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.28 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-11-17 (67d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $230.00 +5.3% $1.87 ⚪ stale 0.86% 22.3% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $230.00 +5.3% $3.95 ⚪ stale 1.81% 23.6% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $230.00 +5.3% $5.90 ⚪ stale 2.70% 23.5% 3% 0

Recommendation:


ORCL · spot $152.94

ORCL: short candidate (composite -0.01). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 25%, far IV 1% (slope -97%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 25%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +25.0% (put-fear)); ma_cross - (50/200 sep -15.9% (death cross; px<MAs)).

Metric Value
Engine composite -0.01 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance) $187.68 (-18.5% from spot)
52-week high $324.63 (-52.9% from spot)
20-day realized vol 49%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.26 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-09-10 (-1d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $160.00 +4.6% $8.70 ⚪ stale 5.69% 148.3% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $160.00 +4.6% $10.00 ⚪ stale 6.54% 85.2% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $160.00 +4.6% $11.90 ⚪ stale 7.78% 67.6% 3% 0

Recommendation:


CRWD · spot $208.86

CRWD: long candidate (composite +0.17). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 6%, far IV 0% (slope -94%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 6%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +37.5% (put-fear)); momentum + (6-mo return +72.9%). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.17 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $231.00 (-9.6% from spot)
52-week high $231.00 (-9.6% from spot)
20-day realized vol 95%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.13 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-12-01 (81d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $220.00 +5.3% $4.60 ⚪ stale 2.20% 57.4% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $220.00 +5.3% $8.10 ⚪ stale 3.88% 50.6% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $220.00 +5.3% $12.20 ⚪ stale 5.84% 50.8% 3% 0

Recommendation:


GLW · spot $163.12

GLW: long candidate (composite +0.21). Drivers: iv_rank + (ATM IV 0%, rank 0); iv_skew + (25Δ put−call IV -25.0% (call-greed)); put_call_ratio - (P/C 1.75 (bearish)); momentum + (6-mo return +85.5%). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.21 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $255.21 (-36.1% from spot)
52-week high $255.21 (-36.1% from spot)
20-day realized vol 62%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 9%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.15 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-10-27 (46d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $170.00 +4.2% $5.14 ⚪ stale 3.15% 82.2% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $170.00 +4.2% $8.80 ⚪ stale 5.39% 70.3% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $170.00 +4.2% $11.41 ⚪ stale 6.99% 60.8% 3% 0

Recommendation:


CRWV · spot $89.12

CRWV: short candidate (composite -0.15). Drivers: iv_term_slope - (near IV 0%, far IV 0% (slope +19531%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 0%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +43.7% (put-fear)); atr_vol - (ATR/px 5.97% (wide)). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.

Metric Value
Engine composite -0.15 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance) $117.95 (-24.4% from spot)
52-week high $143.08 (-37.7% from spot)
20-day realized vol 76%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.17 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-11-11 (61d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $94.00 +5.5% $3.84 ⚪ stale 4.31% 112.3% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $94.00 +5.5% $6.82 ⚪ stale 7.65% 99.8% 6% 0
2026-10-23 42 $93.00 +4.4% $16.58 ⚪ stale 18.60% 161.7% 3% 0

Recommendation:


GOOGL · spot $332.60

GOOGL: long candidate (composite +0.10). Drivers: dollar + (DXY 99.1 (intl-exposed)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.62% vs MA30 (stable)); mom_multi + (1m -3.1%, 3m -7.0%, 12m-1 +43.9%); vix_regime + (VIX 18 (normal), β=1.0).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.10 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $377.41 (-11.9% from spot)
52-week high $402.12 (-17.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol 18%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.68 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-10-28 (47d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $350.00 +5.2% $2.49 ⚪ stale 0.75% 19.5% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $350.00 +5.2% $4.70 ⚪ stale 1.41% 18.4% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $350.00 +5.2% $8.00 ⚪ stale 2.41% 20.9% 3% 0

Recommendation:


HOOD · spot $113.33

HOOD: long candidate (composite +0.20). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 25%, far IV 1% (slope -97%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 25%, rank 0); atr_vol - (ATR/px 6.40% (wide)); volume_trend + (OBV 10d vs 30d +1244% (accumulating)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.20 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $124.72 (-9.1% from spot)
52-week high $152.46 (-25.7% from spot)
20-day realized vol 95%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 6%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.07 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-11-04 (54d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $119.00 +5.0% $3.65 ⚪ stale 3.22% 84.0% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $119.00 +5.0% $6.00 ⚪ stale 5.29% 69.0% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $119.00 +5.0% $8.17 ⚪ stale 7.21% 62.6% 3% 0

Recommendation:


ARM · spot $254.18

ARM: long candidate (composite +0.26). Drivers: iv_rank + (ATM IV 0%, rank 0); iv_skew + (25Δ put−call IV -43.7% (call-greed)); momentum + (6-mo return +124.4%); macd + (hist +1.22% (bull cross)). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.26 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $439.46 (-42.2% from spot)
52-week high $439.46 (-42.2% from spot)
20-day realized vol 51%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 9%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.18 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-11-04 (54d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $265.00 +4.3% $8.80 ⚪ stale 3.46% 90.3% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $265.00 +4.3% $14.35 ⚪ stale 5.65% 73.6% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $265.00 +4.3% $16.81 ⚪ stale 6.61% 57.5% 3% 0

Recommendation:


AVGO · spot $360.83

AVGO: long candidate (composite +0.05). Drivers: volume_trend - (OBV 10d vs 30d -155% (distributing)); dollar + (DXY 99.1 (intl-exposed)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.62% vs MA30 (stable)); vix_regime + (VIX 18 (normal), β=1.0).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.05 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance) $427.76 (-15.6% from spot)
52-week high $480.81 (-25.0% from spot)
20-day realized vol 38%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.33 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-12-09 (89d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $380.00 +5.3% $4.07 ⚪ stale 1.13% 29.4% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $380.00 +5.3% $8.00 ⚪ stale 2.22% 28.9% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $380.00 +5.3% $11.71 ⚪ stale 3.25% 28.2% 3% 0

Recommendation:


DELL · spot $506.62

DELL: long candidate (composite +0.26). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 13%, far IV 0% (slope -97%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 13%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +25.0% (put-fear)); momentum + (6-mo return +303.8%). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.26 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $535.25 (-5.3% from spot)
52-week high $535.25 (-5.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol 78%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 6%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.08 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-11-27 (77d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $530.00 +4.6% $15.73 ⚪ stale 3.10% 80.9% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $530.00 +4.6% $28.55 ⚪ stale 5.64% 73.5% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $530.00 +4.6% $36.67 ⚪ stale 7.24% 62.9% 3% 0

Recommendation:


IBM · spot $234.02

IBM: long candidate (composite +0.04). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 3%, far IV 0% (slope -97%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 3%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +46.9% (put-fear)); momentum - (6-mo return -21.1%). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.04 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance) $303.95 (-23.0% from spot)
52-week high $326.89 (-28.4% from spot)
20-day realized vol 29%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.43 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-10-21 (40d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $245.00 +4.7% $2.50 ⚪ stale 1.07% 27.9% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $245.00 +4.7% $4.95 ⚪ stale 2.12% 27.6% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $245.00 +4.7% $9.90 ⚪ stale 4.23% 36.8% 3% 0

Recommendation:


MRVL · spot $226.96

MRVL: long candidate (composite +0.24). Drivers: iv_rank + (ATM IV 0%, rank 0); iv_skew + (25Δ put−call IV -37.5% (call-greed)); momentum + (6-mo return +168.0%); mom_multi + (1m +4.6%, 3m -19.1%, 12m-1 +224.2%). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.24 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $310.50 (-26.9% from spot)
52-week high $316.35 (-28.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol 81%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.15 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-12-01 (81d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $240.00 +5.7% $6.85 ⚪ stale 3.02% 78.7% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $240.00 +5.7% $13.27 ⚪ stale 5.85% 76.2% 6% 0
2026-10-23 42 $240.00 +5.7% $16.80 ⚪ stale 7.40% 64.3% 3% 0

Recommendation:


MSFT · spot $492.44

MSFT: long candidate (composite +0.07). Drivers: dollar + (DXY 99.1 (intl-exposed)); macd - (hist -0.80% (bear cross)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.62% vs MA30 (stable)); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +5.0% (golden cross; px>MAs)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.07 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $513.53 (-4.1% from spot)
52-week high $537.65 (-8.4% from spot)
20-day realized vol 22%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.57 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-10-28 (47d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $515.00 +4.6% $2.98 ⚪ stale 0.61% 15.8% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $515.00 +4.6% $5.83 ⚪ stale 1.18% 15.4% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $515.00 +4.6% $9.87 ⚪ stale 2.00% 17.4% 3% 0

Recommendation:


PLTR · spot $165.86

PLTR: long candidate (composite +0.11). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 25%, far IV 1% (slope -97%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 25%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +25.0% (put-fear)); put_call_ratio + (P/C 0.00 (bullish)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.11 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $186.38 (-11.0% from spot)
52-week high $207.18 (-19.9% from spot)
20-day realized vol 54%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 13%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.23 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-11-02 (52d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $175.00 +5.5% $3.05 ⚪ stale 1.84% 47.9% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $175.00 +5.5% $5.40 ⚪ stale 3.26% 42.4% 6% 0
2026-10-23 42 $175.00 +5.5% $7.69 ⚪ stale 4.64% 40.3% 3% 0

Recommendation:


TRX · spot $1.11

TRX: long candidate (composite +0.34). Drivers: news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.55)); sector_rs + (vs XLB: stock +12.1% − sector -3.4% = +15.5% (leader)); value + (fwd P/E 6.8 (earnings yield 14.8%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 0%, rank 0). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.34 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $1.23 (-9.8% from spot)
52-week high $2.18 (-49.1% from spot)
20-day realized vol 69%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 50%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.72 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-07-15 (-58d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-18 7 $1.50 +35.1% $0.03 ⚪ stale 2.70% 140.9% 50% 0
2026-10-16 35 $1.50 +35.1% $0.04 ⚪ stale 3.60% 37.6% 25% 0

Recommendation:


QQQ · spot $708.69

QQQ: short candidate (composite -0.04). Drivers: search_interest - (7d avg 32 vs 90d 55 (-43%)); dividend + (div yield 42.0%); dollar - (DXY 99.1 (domestic)); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +7.9% (golden cross; px<MAs)).

Metric Value
Engine composite -0.04 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance) $739.81 (-4.2% from spot)
52-week high $745.34 (-4.9% from spot)
20-day realized vol 13%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 6%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.48 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $744.00 +5.0% $0.73 ⚪ stale 0.10% 2.7% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $744.00 +5.0% $3.29 ⚪ stale 0.46% 6.1% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $745.00 +5.1% $5.68 ⚪ stale 0.80% 7.0% 3% 0

Recommendation:


SMCI · spot $37.38

SMCI: long candidate (composite +0.29). Drivers: search_interest - (7d avg 15 vs 90d 31 (-51%)); sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +27.9% − sector -0.5% = +28.5% (leader)); iv_term_slope + (near IV 25%, far IV 2% (slope -94%)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.41)).

Metric Value
Engine composite +0.29 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance) $40.26 (-7.2% from spot)
52-week high $58.68 (-36.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol 58%
ATM implied vol (near expiry) 9%
IV-rank vs 1y 0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio 0.16 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings 2026-11-03 (53d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry DTE Strike % OTM Premium Quote % of spot Annualized IV OI
2026-09-25 14 $39.00 +4.3% $1.42 ⚪ stale 3.80% 99.0% 6% 0
2026-10-09 28 $39.00 +4.3% $2.22 ⚪ stale 5.94% 77.4% 3% 0
2026-10-23 42 $39.00 +4.3% $3.08 ⚪ stale 8.24% 71.6% 3% 0

Recommendation:


Portfolio aggregate

Aggregate Value
Avg 30-day annualized yield 48.7%
Median IV-rank 0 / 100
Names with IV-rank > 60 (premium rich) 0 / 20
Names with IV-rank < 30 (premium thin) 20 / 20
Names with IV/RV > 1.1 (positive edge) 0 / 20
Names within 14 days of earnings 0 / 20