Generated 2026-09-11 01:00 PT · 20 holdings
Premise: Alan owns the underlying and writes covered calls. Engine prioritizes:
Sorted by IV-rank × IV/RV ratio (premium edge × premium richness).
| # | Sym | Spot | Long thesis | IV-rank | IV/RV | 30d ann.yield | DTE→earn | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AAPL | $326.57 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.40 | 12.6% | 48d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 2 | TSLA | $363.56 | short ⚠ | 0 | 0.18 | 37.5% | 40d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 3 | AMD | $503.60 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.24 | 48.5% | 53d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 4 | NVDA | $218.36 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.28 | 23.6% | 67d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 5 | ORCL | $152.94 | neutral | 0 | 0.26 | 85.2% | — | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 6 | CRWD | $208.86 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.13 | 50.6% | 81d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 7 | GLW | $163.12 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.15 | 70.3% | 46d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 8 | CRWV | $89.12 | short ⚠ | 0 | 0.17 | 99.8% | 61d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 9 | GOOGL | $332.60 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.68 | 18.4% | 47d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 10 | HOOD | $113.33 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.07 | 69.0% | 54d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 11 | ARM | $254.18 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.18 | 73.6% | 54d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 12 | AVGO | $360.83 | neutral | 0 | 0.33 | 28.9% | 89d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 13 | DELL | $506.62 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.08 | 73.5% | 77d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 14 | IBM | $234.02 | neutral | 0 | 0.43 | 27.6% | 40d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 15 | MRVL | $226.96 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.15 | 76.2% | 81d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 16 | MSFT | $492.44 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.57 | 15.4% | 47d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 17 | PLTR | $165.86 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.23 | 42.4% | 52d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 18 | TRX | $1.11 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.72 | 37.6% | — | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 19 | QQQ | $708.69 | neutral | 0 | 0.48 | 6.1% | — | iv-thin, NEG edge |
| 20 | SMCI | $37.38 | LONG ✓ | 0 | 0.16 | 77.4% | 53d | iv-thin, NEG edge |
AAPL: long candidate (composite +0.07). Drivers: insider_trades - (90d net $-1823k (0 buyers/2 sellers)); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +11.6% (golden cross; px>MAs)); finra_short_vol - (3d short 59% vs 17d 46% (rising short pressure)); momentum + (6-mo return +20.8%).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.07 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $339.79 (-3.9% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $339.79 (-3.9% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 23% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 9% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.40 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-10-29 (48d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $345.00 | +5.6% | $1.39 | ⚪ stale | 0.43% | 11.1% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $345.00 | +5.6% | $3.15 | ⚪ stale | 0.96% | 12.6% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $345.00 | +5.6% | $5.00 | ⚪ stale | 1.53% | 13.3% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
TSLA: short candidate (composite -0.11). Drivers: insider_trades - (90d net $-938k (0 buyers/1 sellers)); momentum - (6-mo return -25.6%); ma_cross - (50/200 sep -10.9% (death cross; px<MAs)); volume_trend + (OBV 10d vs 30d +64% (accumulating)).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | -0.11 (directional weakness) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $425.30 (-14.5% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $489.88 (-25.8% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 52% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 9% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.18 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-10-21 (40d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $380.00 | +4.5% | $5.90 | ⚪ stale | 1.62% | 42.3% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $380.00 | +4.5% | $10.45 | ⚪ stale | 2.87% | 37.5% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $380.00 | +4.5% | $16.10 | ⚪ stale | 4.43% | 38.5% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
AMD: long candidate (composite +0.15). Drivers: momentum + (6-mo return +134.3%); mom_multi + (1m +4.3%, 3m +3.1%, 12m-1 +202.7%); macd + (hist +1.15% (bull cross)); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +43.9% (golden cross; px>MAs)).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.15 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $580.91 (-13.3% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $580.91 (-13.3% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 52% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.24 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-03 (53d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $530.00 | +5.2% | $10.49 | ⚪ stale | 2.08% | 54.3% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $530.00 | +5.2% | $18.74 | ⚪ stale | 3.72% | 48.5% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $530.00 | +5.2% | $26.00 | ⚪ stale | 5.16% | 44.9% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
NVDA: long candidate (composite +0.08). Drivers: volume_trend - (OBV 10d vs 30d -504% (distributing)); dollar + (DXY 99.1 (intl-exposed)); momentum + (6-mo return +19.2%); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +7.6% (golden cross; px>MAs)).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.08 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $230.10 (-5.1% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $235.20 (-7.2% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 45% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.28 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-17 (67d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $230.00 | +5.3% | $1.87 | ⚪ stale | 0.86% | 22.3% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $230.00 | +5.3% | $3.95 | ⚪ stale | 1.81% | 23.6% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $230.00 | +5.3% | $5.90 | ⚪ stale | 2.70% | 23.5% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
ORCL: short candidate (composite -0.01). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 25%, far IV 1% (slope -97%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 25%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +25.0% (put-fear)); ma_cross - (50/200 sep -15.9% (death cross; px<MAs)).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | -0.01 (neutral) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $187.68 (-18.5% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $324.63 (-52.9% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 49% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.26 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-09-10 (-1d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $160.00 | +4.6% | $8.70 | ⚪ stale | 5.69% | 148.3% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $160.00 | +4.6% | $10.00 | ⚪ stale | 6.54% | 85.2% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $160.00 | +4.6% | $11.90 | ⚪ stale | 7.78% | 67.6% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
CRWD: long candidate (composite +0.17). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 6%, far IV 0% (slope -94%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 6%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +37.5% (put-fear)); momentum + (6-mo return +72.9%). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.17 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $231.00 (-9.6% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $231.00 (-9.6% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 95% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.13 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-12-01 (81d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $220.00 | +5.3% | $4.60 | ⚪ stale | 2.20% | 57.4% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $220.00 | +5.3% | $8.10 | ⚪ stale | 3.88% | 50.6% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $220.00 | +5.3% | $12.20 | ⚪ stale | 5.84% | 50.8% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
GLW: long candidate (composite +0.21). Drivers: iv_rank + (ATM IV 0%, rank 0); iv_skew + (25Δ put−call IV -25.0% (call-greed)); put_call_ratio - (P/C 1.75 (bearish)); momentum + (6-mo return +85.5%). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.21 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $255.21 (-36.1% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $255.21 (-36.1% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 62% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 9% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.15 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-10-27 (46d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $170.00 | +4.2% | $5.14 | ⚪ stale | 3.15% | 82.2% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $170.00 | +4.2% | $8.80 | ⚪ stale | 5.39% | 70.3% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $170.00 | +4.2% | $11.41 | ⚪ stale | 6.99% | 60.8% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
CRWV: short candidate (composite -0.15). Drivers: iv_term_slope - (near IV 0%, far IV 0% (slope +19531%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 0%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +43.7% (put-fear)); atr_vol - (ATR/px 5.97% (wide)). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | -0.15 (directional weakness) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $117.95 (-24.4% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $143.08 (-37.7% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 76% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.17 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-11 (61d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $94.00 | +5.5% | $3.84 | ⚪ stale | 4.31% | 112.3% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $94.00 | +5.5% | $6.82 | ⚪ stale | 7.65% | 99.8% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $93.00 | +4.4% | $16.58 | ⚪ stale | 18.60% | 161.7% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
GOOGL: long candidate (composite +0.10). Drivers: dollar + (DXY 99.1 (intl-exposed)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.62% vs MA30 (stable)); mom_multi + (1m -3.1%, 3m -7.0%, 12m-1 +43.9%); vix_regime + (VIX 18 (normal), β=1.0).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.10 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $377.41 (-11.9% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $402.12 (-17.3% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 18% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.68 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-10-28 (47d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $350.00 | +5.2% | $2.49 | ⚪ stale | 0.75% | 19.5% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $350.00 | +5.2% | $4.70 | ⚪ stale | 1.41% | 18.4% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $350.00 | +5.2% | $8.00 | ⚪ stale | 2.41% | 20.9% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
HOOD: long candidate (composite +0.20). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 25%, far IV 1% (slope -97%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 25%, rank 0); atr_vol - (ATR/px 6.40% (wide)); volume_trend + (OBV 10d vs 30d +1244% (accumulating)).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.20 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $124.72 (-9.1% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $152.46 (-25.7% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 95% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 6% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.07 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-04 (54d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $119.00 | +5.0% | $3.65 | ⚪ stale | 3.22% | 84.0% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $119.00 | +5.0% | $6.00 | ⚪ stale | 5.29% | 69.0% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $119.00 | +5.0% | $8.17 | ⚪ stale | 7.21% | 62.6% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
ARM: long candidate (composite +0.26). Drivers: iv_rank + (ATM IV 0%, rank 0); iv_skew + (25Δ put−call IV -43.7% (call-greed)); momentum + (6-mo return +124.4%); macd + (hist +1.22% (bull cross)). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.26 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $439.46 (-42.2% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $439.46 (-42.2% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 51% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 9% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.18 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-04 (54d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $265.00 | +4.3% | $8.80 | ⚪ stale | 3.46% | 90.3% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $265.00 | +4.3% | $14.35 | ⚪ stale | 5.65% | 73.6% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $265.00 | +4.3% | $16.81 | ⚪ stale | 6.61% | 57.5% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
AVGO: long candidate (composite +0.05). Drivers: volume_trend - (OBV 10d vs 30d -155% (distributing)); dollar + (DXY 99.1 (intl-exposed)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.62% vs MA30 (stable)); vix_regime + (VIX 18 (normal), β=1.0).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.05 (neutral) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $427.76 (-15.6% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $480.81 (-25.0% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 38% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.33 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-12-09 (89d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $380.00 | +5.3% | $4.07 | ⚪ stale | 1.13% | 29.4% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $380.00 | +5.3% | $8.00 | ⚪ stale | 2.22% | 28.9% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $380.00 | +5.3% | $11.71 | ⚪ stale | 3.25% | 28.2% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
DELL: long candidate (composite +0.26). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 13%, far IV 0% (slope -97%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 13%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +25.0% (put-fear)); momentum + (6-mo return +303.8%). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.26 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $535.25 (-5.3% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $535.25 (-5.3% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 78% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 6% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.08 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-27 (77d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $530.00 | +4.6% | $15.73 | ⚪ stale | 3.10% | 80.9% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $530.00 | +4.6% | $28.55 | ⚪ stale | 5.64% | 73.5% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $530.00 | +4.6% | $36.67 | ⚪ stale | 7.24% | 62.9% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
IBM: long candidate (composite +0.04). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 3%, far IV 0% (slope -97%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 3%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +46.9% (put-fear)); momentum - (6-mo return -21.1%). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.04 (neutral) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $303.95 (-23.0% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $326.89 (-28.4% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 29% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.43 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-10-21 (40d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $245.00 | +4.7% | $2.50 | ⚪ stale | 1.07% | 27.9% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $245.00 | +4.7% | $4.95 | ⚪ stale | 2.12% | 27.6% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $245.00 | +4.7% | $9.90 | ⚪ stale | 4.23% | 36.8% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
MRVL: long candidate (composite +0.24). Drivers: iv_rank + (ATM IV 0%, rank 0); iv_skew + (25Δ put−call IV -37.5% (call-greed)); momentum + (6-mo return +168.0%); mom_multi + (1m +4.6%, 3m -19.1%, 12m-1 +224.2%). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.24 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $310.50 (-26.9% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $316.35 (-28.3% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 81% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.15 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-12-01 (81d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $240.00 | +5.7% | $6.85 | ⚪ stale | 3.02% | 78.7% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $240.00 | +5.7% | $13.27 | ⚪ stale | 5.85% | 76.2% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $240.00 | +5.7% | $16.80 | ⚪ stale | 7.40% | 64.3% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
MSFT: long candidate (composite +0.07). Drivers: dollar + (DXY 99.1 (intl-exposed)); macd - (hist -0.80% (bear cross)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.62% vs MA30 (stable)); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +5.0% (golden cross; px>MAs)).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.07 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $513.53 (-4.1% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $537.65 (-8.4% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 22% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.57 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-10-28 (47d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $515.00 | +4.6% | $2.98 | ⚪ stale | 0.61% | 15.8% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $515.00 | +4.6% | $5.83 | ⚪ stale | 1.18% | 15.4% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $515.00 | +4.6% | $9.87 | ⚪ stale | 2.00% | 17.4% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
PLTR: long candidate (composite +0.11). Drivers: iv_term_slope + (near IV 25%, far IV 1% (slope -97%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 25%, rank 0); iv_skew - (25Δ put−call IV +25.0% (put-fear)); put_call_ratio + (P/C 0.00 (bullish)).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.11 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $186.38 (-11.0% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $207.18 (-19.9% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 54% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 13% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.23 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-02 (52d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $175.00 | +5.5% | $3.05 | ⚪ stale | 1.84% | 47.9% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $175.00 | +5.5% | $5.40 | ⚪ stale | 3.26% | 42.4% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $175.00 | +5.5% | $7.69 | ⚪ stale | 4.64% | 40.3% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
TRX: long candidate (composite +0.34). Drivers: news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.55)); sector_rs + (vs XLB: stock +12.1% − sector -3.4% = +15.5% (leader)); value + (fwd P/E 6.8 (earnings yield 14.8%)); iv_rank + (ATM IV 0%, rank 0). Vol is cheap · debit structures (long calls/puts, debit spreads) favored.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.34 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $1.23 (-9.8% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $2.18 (-49.1% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 69% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 50% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.72 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-07-15 (-58d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | 7 | $1.50 | +35.1% | $0.03 | ⚪ stale | 2.70% | 140.9% | 50% | 0 |
| 2026-10-16 | 35 | $1.50 | +35.1% | $0.04 | ⚪ stale | 3.60% | 37.6% | 25% | 0 |
Recommendation:
QQQ: short candidate (composite -0.04). Drivers: search_interest - (7d avg 32 vs 90d 55 (-43%)); dividend + (div yield 42.0%); dollar - (DXY 99.1 (domestic)); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +7.9% (golden cross; px<MAs)).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | -0.04 (neutral) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $739.81 (-4.2% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $745.34 (-4.9% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 13% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 6% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.48 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $744.00 | +5.0% | $0.73 | ⚪ stale | 0.10% | 2.7% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $744.00 | +5.0% | $3.29 | ⚪ stale | 0.46% | 6.1% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $745.00 | +5.1% | $5.68 | ⚪ stale | 0.80% | 7.0% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
SMCI: long candidate (composite +0.29). Drivers: search_interest - (7d avg 15 vs 90d 31 (-51%)); sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +27.9% − sector -0.5% = +28.5% (leader)); iv_term_slope + (near IV 25%, far IV 2% (slope -94%)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.41)).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Engine composite | +0.29 (long thesis intact) |
| 60-day high (resistance) | $40.26 (-7.2% from spot) |
| 52-week high | $58.68 (-36.3% from spot) |
| 20-day realized vol | 58% |
| ATM implied vol (near expiry) | 9% |
| IV-rank vs 1y | 0 / 100 (cheap) |
| IV / RV ratio | 0.16 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored)) |
| Next earnings | 2026-11-03 (53d) |
Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):
| Expiry | DTE | Strike | % OTM | Premium | Quote | % of spot | Annualized | IV | OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | 14 | $39.00 | +4.3% | $1.42 | ⚪ stale | 3.80% | 99.0% | 6% | 0 |
| 2026-10-09 | 28 | $39.00 | +4.3% | $2.22 | ⚪ stale | 5.94% | 77.4% | 3% | 0 |
| 2026-10-23 | 42 | $39.00 | +4.3% | $3.08 | ⚪ stale | 8.24% | 71.6% | 3% | 0 |
Recommendation:
| Aggregate | Value |
|---|---|
| Avg 30-day annualized yield | 48.7% |
| Median IV-rank | 0 / 100 |
| Names with IV-rank > 60 (premium rich) | 0 / 20 |
| Names with IV-rank < 30 (premium thin) | 20 / 20 |
| Names with IV/RV > 1.1 (positive edge) | 0 / 20 |
| Names within 14 days of earnings | 0 / 20 |