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Covered-Call Premium Report — Alan Fatal Portfolio

Generated 2026-07-27 22:00 PT · 19 holdings

Premise: Alan owns the underlying and writes covered calls. Engine prioritizes:

IV richness — implied > realized vol means premium-selling has positive edge.
Strike near resistance — best probability of OTM expiry without capping rallies.
Earnings-calendar awareness — avoid writing through earnings unless intended.
Composite long-thesis — keep writing on names the engine still likes long.

Portfolio-level — premium-selling priority

Sorted by IV-rank × IV/RV ratio (premium edge × premium richness).

#	Sym	Spot	Long thesis	IV-rank	IV/RV	30d ann.yield	DTE→earn	Flag
1	QQQ	$682.12	LONG ✓	7	0.54	11.4%	—	iv-thin, NEG edge
2	AAPL	$336.91	LONG ✓	0	0.32	16.6%	3d	EARN ⚠, iv-thin, NEG edge
3	TSLA	$309.22	short ⚠	0	0.16	39.8%	86d	iv-thin, NEG edge
4	AMD	$494.95	LONG ✓	0	0.16	83.9%	8d	EARN ⚠, iv-thin, NEG edge
5	NVDA	$196.51	neutral	0	0.31	43.0%	30d	iv-thin, NEG edge
6	ORCL	$119.90	short ⚠	0	0.24	68.5%	44d	iv-thin, NEG edge
7	CRWD	$180.11	LONG ✓	0	0.20	64.9%	36d	iv-thin, NEG edge
8	GLW	$143.36	LONG ✓	0	0.09	97.3%	1d	EARN ⚠, iv-thin, NEG edge
9	CRWV	$70.79	short ⚠	0	0.14	131.3%	15d	iv-thin, NEG edge
10	GOOGL	$326.56	neutral	0	0.30	19.4%	—	iv-thin, NEG edge
11	HOOD	$95.65	neutral	0	0.18	81.7%	2d	EARN ⚠, iv-thin, NEG edge
12	ARM	$266.33	LONG ✓	0	0.16	129.1%	2d	EARN ⚠, iv-thin, NEG edge
13	AVGO	$383.22	short ⚠	0	0.30	49.9%	38d	iv-thin, NEG edge
14	DELL	$426.91	LONG ✓	0	0.16	83.8%	38d	iv-thin, NEG edge
15	IBM	$216.28	short ⚠	0	0.13	34.8%	86d	iv-thin, NEG edge
16	MRVL	$189.17	LONG ✓	0	0.14	112.3%	31d	iv-thin, NEG edge
17	MSFT	$389.10	short ⚠	0	0.47	34.4%	2d	EARN ⚠, iv-thin, NEG edge
18	PLTR	$131.53	short ⚠	0	0.25	66.3%	7d	EARN ⚠, iv-thin, NEG edge
19	TRX	$0.80	neutral	0	0.35	73.0%	—	iv-thin, NEG edge

Per-stock detail

QQQ · spot $682.12

QQQ: long candidate (composite +0.20). Drivers: news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.31)); finra_short_vol + (3d short 65% vs 17d 67% (extreme — squeeze setup)); dividend + (div yield 38.0%); ma_cross + (50/200 sep +11.7% (golden cross; px<MAs)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.20 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$745.34 (-8.5% from spot)
52-week high	$745.34 (-8.5% from spot)
20-day realized vol	23%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	7 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.54 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$716.00	+5.0%	$1.60	⚪ stale	0.23%	7.8%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$716.00	+5.0%	$6.79	⚪ stale	1.00%	11.4%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$716.00	+5.0%	$7.63	⚪ stale	1.12%	10.5%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 7/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $716 is 3.9% below 60d high $745 — could be tested on a rally.

AAPL · spot $336.91

AAPL: long candidate (composite +0.18). Drivers: sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +24.3% − sector +9.4% = +14.9% (leader)); insider_trades - (90d net $-87144k (0 buys/5 sells)); pb_ratio - (P/B 39.1 (rich)); dividend + (div yield 39.0%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.18 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$336.91 (+0.0% from spot)
52-week high	$336.91 (+0.0% from spot)
20-day realized vol	29%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	9%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.32 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-07-30 (3d) ⚠ AVOID writing through

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$355.00	+5.4%	$2.24	⚪ stale	0.66%	22.1%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$355.00	+5.4%	$4.90	⚪ stale	1.45%	16.6%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$355.00	+5.4%	$5.45	⚪ stale	1.62%	15.1%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
⚠ Earnings in 3d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $355 sits at/above 60d high $337 — buffer in resistance.

TSLA · spot $309.22

TSLA: short candidate (composite -0.45). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLY: stock -19.0% − sector -4.9% = -14.0% (laggard)); search_interest - (7d avg 29 vs 90d 39 (-26%)); yield_curve - (10Y-2Y -3.33% (inverted), sector=Consumer Cyclical); insider_trades - (90d net $-12383k (0 buys/18 sells)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	-0.45 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance)	$445.27 (-30.6% from spot)
52-week high	$489.88 (-36.9% from spot)
20-day realized vol	77%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.16 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-10-21 (86d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$325.00	+5.1%	$5.20	⚪ stale	1.68%	55.8%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$325.00	+5.1%	$10.80	⚪ stale	3.49%	39.8%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$325.00	+5.1%	$12.55	⚪ stale	4.06%	38.0%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $325 is 27.0% below 60d high $445 — could be tested on a rally.

AMD · spot $494.95

AMD: long candidate (composite +0.11). Drivers: sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +39.6% − sector +9.4% = +30.2% (leader)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.47)); insider_trades - (90d net $-64142k (0 buys/29 sells)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.99% vs MA30 (stable)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.11 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$580.91 (-14.8% from spot)
52-week high	$580.91 (-14.8% from spot)
20-day realized vol	76%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.16 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-08-04 (8d) ⚠ AVOID writing through

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$520.00	+5.1%	$21.84	⚪ stale	4.41%	146.4%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$520.00	+5.1%	$36.42	⚪ stale	7.36%	83.9%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$520.00	+5.1%	$42.00	⚪ stale	8.49%	79.4%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
⚠ Earnings in 8d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $520 is 10.5% below 60d high $581 — could be tested on a rally.

NVDA · spot $196.51

NVDA: long candidate (composite +0.00). Drivers: search_interest - (7d avg 20 vs 90d 26 (-23%)); sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -1.4% − sector +9.4% = -10.8% (laggard)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.31)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.99% vs MA30 (stable)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.00 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance)	$235.47 (-16.5% from spot)
52-week high	$235.47 (-16.5% from spot)
20-day realized vol	40%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.31 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-08-26 (30d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$207.50	+5.6%	$2.00	⚪ stale	1.02%	33.8%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$205.00	+4.3%	$7.41	⚪ stale	3.77%	43.0%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$205.00	+4.3%	$8.55	⚪ stale	4.35%	40.7%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
⚠ Earnings in 30d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $205 is 12.9% below 60d high $235 — could be tested on a rally.

ORCL · spot $119.90

ORCL: short candidate (composite -0.31). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -25.4% − sector +9.4% = -34.9% (laggard)); search_interest - (7d avg 17 vs 90d 24 (-27%)); insider_trades - (90d net $-63664k (0 buys/11 sells)); momentum - (6-mo return -51.6%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	-0.31 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance)	$247.29 (-51.5% from spot)
52-week high	$324.63 (-63.1% from spot)
20-day realized vol	53%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.24 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-09-09 (44d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$126.00	+5.1%	$3.32	⚪ stale	2.77%	91.9%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$126.00	+5.1%	$7.20	⚪ stale	6.01%	68.5%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$126.00	+5.1%	$8.17	⚪ stale	6.81%	63.8%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $126 is 49.0% below 60d high $247 — could be tested on a rally.

CRWD · spot $180.11

CRWD: long candidate (composite +0.10). Drivers: news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.63)); sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +61.6% − sector +9.4% = +52.2% (leader)); search_interest - (7d avg 13 vs 90d 19 (-34%)); insider_trades - (90d net $-16119k (0 buys/62 sells)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.10 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$210.73 (-14.5% from spot)
52-week high	$210.73 (-14.5% from spot)
20-day realized vol	62%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.20 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-09-01 (36d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$188.75	+4.8%	$4.65	⚪ stale	2.58%	85.7%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$190.00	+5.5%	$10.25	⚪ stale	5.69%	64.9%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$190.00	+5.5%	$12.40	⚪ stale	6.88%	64.4%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $189 is 10.4% below 60d high $211 — could be tested on a rally.

GLW · spot $143.36

GLW: long candidate (composite +0.08). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -12.6% − sector +9.4% = -22.0% (laggard)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.49)); momentum + (6-mo return +65.7%); mom_multi + (1m -35.1%, 3m -14.5%, 12m-1 +303.7%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.08 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$255.69 (-43.9% from spot)
52-week high	$255.69 (-43.9% from spot)
20-day realized vol	102%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	9%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.09 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-07-28 (1d) ⚠ AVOID writing through

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$150.00	+4.6%	$7.05	⚪ stale	4.92%	163.2%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$150.00	+4.6%	$12.23	⚪ stale	8.53%	97.3%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$150.00	+4.6%	$11.51	⚪ stale	8.03%	75.1%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
⚠ Earnings in 1d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $150 is 41.3% below 60d high $256 — could be tested on a rally.

CRWV · spot $70.79

CRWV: short candidate (composite -0.30). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -36.6% − sector +9.4% = -46.0% (laggard)); search_interest - (7d avg 24 vs 90d 33 (-28%)); insider_trades - (90d net $-42855k (0 buys/60 sells)); momentum - (6-mo return -38.1%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	-0.30 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance)	$137.98 (-48.7% from spot)
52-week high	$148.75 (-52.4% from spot)
20-day realized vol	91%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.14 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-08-11 (15d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$74.00	+4.5%	$4.10	⚪ stale	5.79%	192.2%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$74.00	+4.5%	$8.15	⚪ stale	11.51%	131.3%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$75.00	+5.9%	$8.00	⚪ stale	11.30%	105.8%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
⚠ Earnings in 15d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $74 is 46.4% below 60d high $138 — could be tested on a rally.

GOOGL · spot $326.56

GOOGL: short candidate (composite -0.04). Drivers: yield_curve + (10Y-2Y -3.33% (inverted), sector=Communication Services); insider_trades - (90d net $-3952k (0 buys/8 sells)); search_interest - (7d avg 33 vs 90d 41 (-19%)); sector_rs - (vs XLC: stock -15.1% − sector -6.4% = -8.7% (laggard)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	-0.04 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance)	$402.38 (-18.8% from spot)
52-week high	$402.38 (-18.8% from spot)
20-day realized vol	42%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.30 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-07-22 (-5d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$342.50	+4.9%	$2.60	⚪ stale	0.80%	26.4%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$345.00	+5.6%	$5.55	⚪ stale	1.70%	19.4%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$345.00	+5.6%	$6.86	⚪ stale	2.10%	19.7%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $342 is 14.9% below 60d high $402 — could be tested on a rally.

HOOD · spot $95.65

HOOD: long candidate (composite +0.01). Drivers: sector_rs + (vs XLF: stock +31.2% − sector +9.5% = +21.7% (leader)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.53)); yield_curve - (10Y-2Y -3.33% (inverted), sector=Financial Services); insider_trades - (90d net $-3251k (0 buys/21 sells)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.01 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance)	$117.55 (-18.6% from spot)
52-week high	$152.46 (-37.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol	69%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.18 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-07-29 (2d) ⚠ AVOID writing through

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$100.00	+4.5%	$4.44	⚪ stale	4.64%	154.0%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$100.00	+4.5%	$6.85	⚪ stale	7.16%	81.7%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$100.00	+4.5%	$7.26	⚪ stale	7.59%	71.0%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
⚠ Earnings in 2d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $100 is 14.9% below 60d high $118 — could be tested on a rally.

ARM · spot $266.33

ARM: long candidate (composite +0.18). Drivers: sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +26.6% − sector +9.4% = +17.2% (leader)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.39)); insider_trades - (90d net $-10568k (0 buys/6 sells)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.99% vs MA30 (stable)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.18 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$439.46 (-39.4% from spot)
52-week high	$439.46 (-39.4% from spot)
20-day realized vol	78%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.16 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-07-29 (2d) ⚠ AVOID writing through

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$280.00	+5.1%	$17.00	⚪ stale	6.38%	211.8%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$280.00	+5.1%	$30.15	⚪ stale	11.32%	129.1%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$280.00	+5.1%	$34.61	⚪ stale	13.00%	121.6%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
⚠ Earnings in 2d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $280 is 36.3% below 60d high $439 — could be tested on a rally.

AVGO · spot $383.22

AVGO: short candidate (composite -0.12). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -8.1% − sector +9.4% = -17.5% (laggard)); insider_trades - (90d net $-20840k (0 buys/4 sells)); search_interest - (7d avg 15 vs 90d 19 (-19%)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.99% vs MA30 (stable)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	-0.12 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance)	$480.81 (-20.3% from spot)
52-week high	$480.81 (-20.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol	42%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.30 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-09-03 (38d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$402.50	+5.0%	$6.85	⚪ stale	1.79%	59.3%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$400.00	+4.4%	$16.75	⚪ stale	4.37%	49.9%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$400.00	+4.4%	$23.00	⚪ stale	6.00%	56.2%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $402 is 16.3% below 60d high $481 — could be tested on a rally.

DELL · spot $426.91

DELL: long candidate (composite +0.28). Drivers: news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.62)); sector_rs + (vs XLK: stock +104.6% − sector +9.4% = +95.2% (leader)); search_interest - (7d avg 46 vs 90d 67 (-32%)); insider_trades - (90d net $-17255k (0 buys/27 sells)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.28 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$465.19 (-8.2% from spot)
52-week high	$465.19 (-8.2% from spot)
20-day realized vol	79%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.16 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-09-03 (38d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$447.50	+4.8%	$14.26	⚪ stale	3.34%	110.8%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$450.00	+5.4%	$31.35	⚪ stale	7.34%	83.8%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$450.00	+5.4%	$37.45	⚪ stale	8.77%	82.1%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $448 is 3.8% below 60d high $465 — could be tested on a rally.

IBM · spot $216.28

IBM: short candidate (composite -0.18). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -5.7% − sector +9.4% = -15.1% (laggard)); search_interest - (7d avg 40 vs 90d 47 (-15%)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.21)); momentum - (6-mo return -28.2%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	-0.18 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance)	$329.23 (-34.3% from spot)
52-week high	$329.23 (-34.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol	97%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.13 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-10-21 (86d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$227.50	+5.2%	$2.90	⚪ stale	1.34%	44.5%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$225.00	+4.0%	$6.59	⚪ stale	3.05%	34.8%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$225.00	+4.0%	$7.89	⚪ stale	3.65%	34.1%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $228 is 30.9% below 60d high $329 — could be tested on a rally.

MRVL · spot $189.17

MRVL: long candidate (composite +0.17). Drivers: insider_trades - (90d net $-3367k (0 buys/2 sells)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.99% vs MA30 (stable)); search_interest + (7d avg 19 vs 90d 16 (+19%)); momentum + (6-mo return +103.9%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.17 (long thesis intact)
60-day high (resistance)	$316.35 (-40.2% from spot)
52-week high	$316.35 (-40.2% from spot)
20-day realized vol	89%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.14 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-08-27 (31d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$197.50	+4.4%	$9.60	⚪ stale	5.07%	168.4%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$200.00	+5.7%	$18.63	⚪ stale	9.85%	112.3%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$200.00	+5.7%	$20.65	⚪ stale	10.92%	102.2%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $198 is 37.6% below 60d high $316 — could be tested on a rally.

MSFT · spot $389.10

MSFT: short candidate (composite -0.09). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -4.4% − sector +9.4% = -13.8% (laggard)); dividend + (div yield 103.0%); size - ($2770.6B (mega)); pb_ratio - (P/B 6.7 (rich)).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	-0.09 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance)	$460.52 (-15.5% from spot)
52-week high	$538.66 (-27.8% from spot)
20-day realized vol	26%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.47 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-07-29 (2d) ⚠ AVOID writing through

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$407.50	+4.7%	$8.90	⚪ stale	2.29%	75.9%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$410.00	+5.4%	$11.72	⚪ stale	3.01%	34.4%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$410.00	+5.4%	$13.54	⚪ stale	3.48%	32.6%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
⚠ Earnings in 2d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $408 is 11.5% below 60d high $461 — could be tested on a rally.

PLTR · spot $131.53

PLTR: short candidate (composite -0.30). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLK: stock -5.4% − sector +9.4% = -14.9% (laggard)); insider_trades - (90d net $-28519k (0 buys/12 sells)); credit_spreads + (HYG/LQD +0.99% vs MA30 (stable)); momentum - (6-mo return -30.0%).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	-0.30 (directional weakness)
60-day high (resistance)	$160.65 (-18.1% from spot)
52-week high	$207.18 (-36.5% from spot)
20-day realized vol	50%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	13%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.25 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-08-03 (7d) ⚠ AVOID writing through

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV
2026-08-07	11	$138.00	+4.9%	$5.03	⚪ stale	3.82%	126.9%	6%
2026-08-28	32	$138.00	+4.9%	$7.65	⚪ stale	5.82%	66.3%	3%
2026-09-04	39	$138.00	+4.9%	$8.15	⚪ stale	6.20%	58.0%	3%

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
⚠ Earnings in 7d — IV crush risk. Either sell shorter-dated (~7d) or wait until after report.
📍 Strike $138 is 14.1% below 60d high $161 — could be tested on a rally.

TRX · spot $0.80

TRX: long candidate (composite +0.01). Drivers: sector_rs - (vs XLB: stock -26.6% − sector +0.2% = -26.8% (laggard)); news_sentiment + (10 headlines, bullish (+0.53)); value + (fwd P/E 4.9 (earnings yield 20.3%)); yield_curve - (10Y-2Y -3.33% (inverted), sector=Basic Materials).

Metric	Value
Engine composite	+0.01 (neutral)
60-day high (resistance)	$1.30 (-38.5% from spot)
52-week high	$2.18 (-63.3% from spot)
20-day realized vol	72%
ATM implied vol (near expiry)	25%
IV-rank vs 1y	0 / 100 (cheap)
IV / RV ratio	0.35 (NEGATIVE (buyers favored))
Next earnings	2026-07-15 (-12d)

Premium-selling candidates (~5% OTM target):

Expiry	DTE	Strike	% OTM	Premium	Quote	% of spot	Annualized	IV	OI
2026-08-21	25	$1.00	+25.0%	$0.04	⚪ stale	5.00%	73.0%	25%	0
2026-09-18	53	$1.00	+25.0%	$0.06	⚪ stale	7.50%	51.7%	25%	0

Recommendation:

⏸ IV-rank only 0/100 — premium thin. Wait for IV pop or accept lower yield.
📍 Strike $1 is 23.1% below 60d high $1 — could be tested on a rally.

Portfolio aggregate

Aggregate	Value
Avg 30-day annualized yield	65.3%
Median IV-rank	0 / 100
Names with IV-rank > 60 (premium rich)	0 / 19
Names with IV-rank < 30 (premium thin)	19 / 19
Names with IV/RV > 1.1 (positive edge)	0 / 19
Names within 14 days of earnings	7 / 19