What your terminal won't tell you
Intelligence Brief · Tick #83345 · 2026-07-28T00:25:54-04:00
Veloguard
The synthesis your terminal won't draw.
19 names 31 factors · 8 families market closed
Premium-edge candidates
standing by
Earnings ahead
in window
Insider exits
above floor
Cross-family conflicts
above threshold
Editor's note · what this is

A synthesis layer over your terminal. Raw greeks, IV rank, charts and execution stay where they are. What lives here is the math TOS shows you raw but doesn't aggregate.

Everything else feeds the synthesis but isn't the value — your terminal already has those.

1 · How do you write your calls?

You're long the stock and write calls above market. Tell the engine where you target — it tunes the cards to your style.

≤ 5% OTM 5–10% OTM 10–15% OTM 15–20% OTM
Weeklies (7–14d) Monthlies (14–30d) Longer (30–60d)
At 50% profit When strike threatened Let assignment happen

2 · How aggressive should the engine be?

Conviction floor hides weak signals. Slide right to demand stronger consensus.

0.05
5 10 20 All

3 · Earnings handling

Paid options through earnings get IV-crushed. How wide should the avoidance window be?

7 days 14 days 21 days 30 days

4 · Card-specific thresholds

Drill each tier independently. Counts update as you slide.

30 /100

What it measures: how far apart the 8 factor families are pointing for one name, as (max − min spread) × (balance of pos vs neg), scored 0–100. Why you'd change it: raise to surface only egregious disagreements where a strong family-level signal flatly contradicts another (these tend to be the highest-conviction "look closer" trades). Lower to catch mild tensions. Today's snapshot: AMD at 94/100 (cross_asset +2.0 vs fundamental −0.8) — the stock is leading its sector hard while fundamentals are deteriorating.

≥ $1M ≥ $5M ≥ $10M ≥ $25M

What it measures: SEC Form 4 net open-market selling minus buying, trailing 90 days, parsed and netted at the dollar level. Includes only directors, officers, and 10% owners; excludes grants and option exercises. Cluster bonus when ≥3 separate insiders sell. Why you'd change it: $5M is the floor where insider-flow signals tend to be statistically meaningful (Cohen-Malloy-Pomorski found 6%+ annual edge above this band). $25M filters to only flagrant exits. Today's snapshot: NVDA at −$266.4M (10 sells, 0 buys) — one of the biggest insider exoduses in the book.

5 %

Note: this one is buildable in thinkScript if you set up a `RelativePerformance()` column. We surface it by default so you don't have to. Raise to filter chronic laggards. Today: NVDA −19% vs XLK over 60d.

0.10

What it measures: a composite score for "best premium-selling target right now," computed as composite × (1 − conflict_penalty) + 0.3 × options_family_signal. The options-family signal blends IV-rank, term-slope, skew, and put/call ratio. Why you'd change it: low (0.10) means show every name where the long thesis is intact and options aren't actively screaming "wait." High (0.50+) keeps only names with strong directional conviction and a vol-rich profile suitable for short-premium structures. Today's snapshot: top edge candidate is DELL at 0.45 (cross_asset +2.0, options signal +0.4, low conflict).

01

Premium-edge candidates 0

SYNTHESIS  Composite × (1 − conflict) + 0.3 × options_family. Blends fundamentals + technicals + macro + flow with the conflict penalty and a vol-regime overlay. The lead measure for where to write next — formula breakdown per name on demand.

02

Catalyst pause 0

EARNINGS WATCH  Names with earnings inside the avoidance window. TOS has the calendar; the value here is the interactive EV underwriter → — drag strike, expiry, IV-crush, σ, contracts; watch the net EV flip green or red live.

03

Insider distress 0

AGGREGATED · PARSED · RATIOED  TOS shows raw filings — we net 90 days of open-market sales only (P/S codes parsed, grants and exercises excluded), ratio against market cap and insider hold, flag clustering when ≥3 insiders sell. Cohen-Malloy-Pomorski edge band kicks in above $5M.

04

Cross-signal conflicts 0

UNIQUE SYNTHESIS  When 2+ of the 8 factor families flatly oppose each other (high spread × balance), the engine flags it. The math composing this signal is not feasible to reproduce in thinkScript — full 8-family decomposition and score formula visible per name.

05

Sector laggards 0

RELATIVE STRENGTH  Stock 60d − sector ETF 60d. You could build this in thinkScript; we surface it by default. For covered-call writers, sector laggards justify tighter strikes — less upside risk to cap.